Wednesday, March 26, 2008

American presidential candidates tripping or what?

Hilary Clinton, Baraq Obama and John McCane have all "evolved" strategies for the Middle East. Yet how any of them hope to succeed if they fall back on outdated (and unjust) policies? And the Good ol' USA sure needs some help - and fast.
There's much banter about alternative energies but come on now, it is impossible to make a shift like that. Maybe over 100 years - or by a series of oil shocks (shortfalls). So start by insuring petroleum supply.
As you know, the USA consumes a cool 20 m/brl./dy of petroleum. What you don't know (probably) is that both government and oilo firms turn cartwheels every day just to keep that 'normal' oil coming.
All the big oil producers are getting ready to implement preferential pricing. Poor countries will pay less for the stuff than big rich ones. It's only fair, I suppose.
Whether the OPEC will have the power to pull it off depends on whether Russia will join them.
So here, we're talking about the real economic axle of the modern world - petroleum - and the main candidates just don't get it. Obviously we must not alienate the producers too much.
The producing countries have not exactly benefitted from the huge amounts of US dollars. The only country producing oil which may have not weakened itself, is Libya. But that is highly qualified because Qaddafi did away with any rich private businessman.
Of course it was Qaddafi and our friend and ally Shah Reza Pahlavi who managed on 3 occassions to jack the price up five times (1971, 1973). Becuase New England by law burns only low sulphur crude, Qaddafi was able to demand a premium and Nixon had could either buy at the new price, or watch the Northeastern USA go dark and cold.
Why oil producing countries tend to come apart is a subject in itself. Best to study what happened to Spain when all that New World gold and silver flowed in.
By the rich, developed countries are in even a greater bind because their constituents believe they are entitled to cheap oil and have based their whole lives on it. None of us can imagine what life would be like without the sweet low sulphur fossil juice.
So somehow we must get back in the good graces with the oil producing nations. Very briefly, the USA must pursue a policy that improves the lives of stateless folk - the Kurds, the Palestinians, and Iraqi exiles.
We belief that the interests of all nations overlap and converge. What you want for your children - or for yourself - is virtualy identical to what an African or a Russian or an Arab would say. For example, American politicians are still, at this late date, believing that the USA must support Israel 'to the hilt' when in fact the security of the Israeli people depends on getting out of military responses and military solutions.
Whether Democrat or Republican, US administrations are terrified of the opprobrium of the Israel lobby as if most American Jews support it. They don't. AIPAC is much too brutal, much too right wing and imperialistic, if not racist, to have much support from American Jews.
Collective punishment is not exactly a good come on.
The new Gaza Authority - the HAMAS terror group - is not exactly popular in Palestine but its acceptability, its political capital, rises whenever Israel munitions kills a family. Like Israel, I put great hope and trust in the West Bank Fatah government of Abu Mazin, Mr Abbas.
Any one criticizing this publication of not supporting the genuine Muslim HAMAS, better know his Qur'an, because there is passage after passage which goes against what the Mid East terror bozos believe. They are not real Muslims.
Real Muslims, real Jews, real Christians, real Buddhists, would never have differences in their basic interests.